The DECIPHER consortium has released a Policy Brief that presents an integrated macroeconomic analysis of how timely adaptation and nature conservation investments can strengthen Europe’s resilience to climate impacts while supporting long-term economic stability.
Using the E3ME and GEM-E3 models, both enhanced under DECIPHER, it quantifies the EU’s investment needs under alternative climate pathways. Key findings show that early flood-risk adaptation pays off in GDP preservation, while biodiversity protection costs remain modest yet highly effective. The results highlight the importance of embedding adaptation and conservation in national and EU-level climate strategies.
Key policy messages:
- Early, proactive adaptation mitigates future climate damages and sustains growth.
- Biodiversity conservation is affordable and enhances ecosystem resilience.
- Coordinated EU mechanisms are needed to track adaptation effectiveness and share best practices.
📄 Read the full Policy Brief: Download PDF